Ukrainian authorities announced a high alert in three regions and declare build Russian military units in Crimea. To the open armed confrontation it is unlikely, experts say
Russian group
Ukraine reported on Thursday on the strengthening of the Russian military on the border of the peninsula. “On the Armenian direction in the area of PPC« Kalanchak »mechanized company of up to 100 military personnel in five« KamAZ » came and turned in the battle formations», – transmits news agency words UNIAN speaker of the General Staff Armed Forces of Ukraine Vladislav Seleznev . According to the General Staff, on Dzhankojsky the direction of a company was seen in eight of BMP, as well as systems of volley fire “Grad”. Border Service of Ukraine stated that 15 flights of Mi-8 from 7 August, reported publication “Ukrainian Truth” in the department. Chairman of the State Border Service of Ukraine Viktor Nazarenko said that “in the last days by the Armenian on the mainland Ukraine recorded four UAVs” Russia. On Wednesday, August 10, the Permanent Representative of Ukraine to the United Nations Vladimir Elchenko also told reporters about the concentration of Russian troops on the border.
According to military analyst Anton Lavrov, 10 August the peninsula was transferred Motorized Rifle Brigade. Regarding the transfer of war on the peninsula reported German publication Bild. “This is a temporary increase in the border with Ukraine”, – Lavrov said. However, he said that the last time additional forces threw the Crimea in 2014.
Russian Ministry of Defence on the additional buildup of forces in connection with the incident in the Crimea are not reported. RBC has sent a request to the military department.
The Russian military group in the Crimea has about 22 thousand. Man says Ukrainian military expert Konstantin Mashovets. According to him, on the peninsula are concentrated all kinds of forces – ground forces, aerospace and navy. “In Crimea, created a self-sufficient multiservice grouping that can act independently on the border”, – confirms the words of the expert Ukrainian military analyst, a member of the Public Council under the Ministry of Defense of Russia Igor Korotchenko. On the peninsula deployed 12th and 18th artillery regiments and 37 – th Mixed Aviation Regiment and 38 – th Fighter Wing, having armed with the Su-24, Su-25, Su-27 and Su-30. Back in November 2014 was formed 8 – th Artillery Regiment coastal defense. At the disposal of the gunners are multiple launch rocket systems “Tornado”, anti-tank systems “Chrysanthemum” and other types of equipment. As part of the Black Sea Fleet also has missile ships and submarines equipped with tactical cruise missiles “Caliber” who have been battle-tested in the course of the conflict in Syria.
Applications for the contraction of Russian military to the border come amid Posts FSB commandos are disclosed in the Crimea, which, according to the agency, prepared attacks on the peninsula. Security forces detained the employees named Chief of Intelligence Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, during a shootout during their detention were killed FSB officer and one soldier Defense Ministry, the Federal Security Service reported. Ukraine denied the charges, and the head of main department of the Ministry of Defense intelligence of Ukraine Valery Kondratyuk said Thursday that the shootout was the clash of Russian military and border guards of the FSB Russia.
Branch Russian troops deployed in Crimea since the entry of the Republic of the Russia. About the systematic deployment of additional forces in the Crimea in July he reported “Gazeta.ru,”. According to the publication, in August 2016 the peninsula had to deploy anti-aircraft missile regiment, which included bears service system S-400 “Triumph”. The range of application of the complex -. 400 km
Ukrainian army
Ukraine responded to the accusations Russia on alert in three regions in the south. At a meeting with heads of law enforcement agencies and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs on Thursday afternoon the President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko commanded result in enhanced combat readiness of the armed forces, National Guard under , Border Patrol and security service of Ukraine. “Specific requirements – he said – to the border guards in the areas of administrative border temporarily occupied the Crimea and on the contact line in the Donbass”. Gain will have borders with the Crimea, Kherson region and neighboring Mykolaiv and Zaporizhia regions, experts say. Speaker of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Vladislav Seleznev refused to name the amount of RBC forces concentrated on the border of Ukraine with the peninsula. “This is classified information, particularly in this period”, – explained the refusal to comment Advisor to the Deputy Minister of Defense of Ukraine Vasyl Budik
According to the report of the Military Balance 2016 of the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS). the total strength of the Armed forces of Ukraine is 204 thousand. man. At the disposal of the military is 788 tanks, most of them – obsolete T-64. In addition, the Air Force of Ukraine have 202 combat-ready aircraft – multi-purpose fighter Su-27 and MiG -29, Su-25 attack aircraft and Sukhoi Su-24
<. p> Increased combat readiness of military units on the territory of the three areas of the Ukrainian army did not give any advantage, says the director of the strategic situation of the Centre Ivan Konovalov. “Between the peninsula and the mainland by a thin isthmus, there is no place to deploy force”, – the expert explains. “Attack of the need to boost the thin isthmus or deploy a large amphibious operation,” – explains the military expert Alexander Goltz , explaining the impossibility of open confrontation in Crimea. According to him, in the event of a theoretical confrontation between the armies of Russia and Ukraine, the latter will not be able to oppose superior forces of something serious. “With the latest reform of the Russian forces have the ability to rapidly deploy forces in any direction,” – explains the expert
In spite of the increase in the group in the Crimea, and the response of the Ukrainian army, do not expect an open clash, he said. Deputy Director of the Institute of political and military analysis Alexander Khramchikhin. “The transfer of the battalion does not mean anything, no one is planning a large-scale offensive”, – the expert believes. “Ukrainian Defense Ministry does not consider that the actions of the Russian group in the Crimea are offensive in nature”, – said Ukrainian analyst Mashovets
The special operation
Now in the territory. Peninsula conducted a special operation, which is supervised by the FSB, says the president of the International Association of counterterrorist Joseph Linder. The Defense Ministry, Interior Ministry and FSB Rosgvardiya help at his level, he adds. “To ensure the work of the FSB should be introduced on the border gain modes, gain mode of radio”, – says the expert. On the introduction of special communication modes indirectly indicate disruptions of mobile operators and Internet service providers.
A resident of one of the Crimean military towns told RBC that the 10 and 11 August in the city there was no cellular signal. The Crimean ISP SkyLine August 8 on your website said , that Internet access to subscribers of the company will be limited due to the requirement of government agencies . Later the company was handling changed , and references to the requirements of disappeared. About Network Communication failures reported by the company « Krymtelekom » and «K – Telecom », explaining to them the technical works.
The special regime introduced in the layout of the internal troops and the military, said a resident of the Crimea. RBC was unable to obtain comment from the operational center of public relations of FSB of Russia. A spokesman for Rosgvardii Eugene Kubyshkin declined to comment, citing reasons of national security. However, he noted that the leading role in the operation plays an FSB.
Calls for the world
On Thursday evening the UN Security Council held a private meeting on the situation in Crimea. The meeting was initiated by Ukraine. During the meeting the Ukrainian side “is going to inform the members of the Council” on the situation in Crimea and eastern Ukraine in general, said in a recording on Twitter Ukrainian mission to the UN.
At today’s Permanent Representative of Ukraine to the United Nations Vladimir Elchenko, position his country had already expressed in the statements of the Foreign Ministry and the President of Ukraine, who regard the incident in Armyansk as “a provocation of Russia” and pay attention to the concentration of Russian troops near the Ukrainian border. The diplomat urged the international community to influence the Kremlin “by all possible political and diplomatic means” and added that these statements will soon be issued as official documents of the General Assembly and the UN Security Council.
The European Commission called for a “peaceful resolution of the conflict” , said The Wall Street Journal’s press secretary European Commission Maya Kochiyanchich . Representative also stressed the lack of “independent confirmation of the Russian version of events.”
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